>These figures take into account the fact that many cases go undetected, and est... | Hacker News

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		roywiggins on Sept 23, 2014 \| parent \| context \| favorite \| on: Ebola Cases Could Reach 1.4M in 4 Months, C.D.C. E... >These figures take into account the fact that many cases go undetected, and estimate that there are actually 2.5 times as many as reported.

FollowSteph3 on Sept 23, 2014 [–]

Even at 2.5, which to me is low, that 1.4x2=2.8 times another half doubling and were looking at 4.2 million. That's quite a difference.

If the under estimation is by a factor of 5 then you're looking at 44.8 million.

The exponential value is really important, especially in the early and end games ;)

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