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In my aviation safety work, deep learning outperforms traditional non-DL models for multivariate time-series forecasting. Between deep learning models, I've had a wide variance in performance between transformers, Bi-LSTMs, regular MLPs, VAEs, and so on.


Seconding the other question, would be curious to know


What's your go-to model that generally performs well with little tuning?


If you have short time-series with low variance, noise and outliers, strong prior knowledge, or limited resources to train and maintain a model, I would stick with simpler traditional models.

If DL is a good fit for your use-case, then I tend to like transformers or combining CNNs with recurrent models (e.g., BiGRU, GRU, BiLSTM, LSTM) and optional attention.


What are you doing in aviation safety that requires time series modeling? Weather?


My best guess would be accident occurrence prediction.


Now take into account that it has to be lightweight and DL falls shirt




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