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Avamander
on March 22, 2021
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AstraZeneca vaccine safe and effective in U.S., Ch...
> passively try to avoid the game altogether
Can't be done, you're avoiding yourself into a ~3/100 game.
thehappypm
on March 23, 2021
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Why 3/100? Covid is clearly killing far less than 3% of the infected, and far less than 3% of the general population when you factor in that not everyone is going to catch it.
Avamander
on March 23, 2021
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parent
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Okay 3/100 is too high, latest sources estimate IFR ~1%, so 1/100 would be correct.
thehappypm
on March 25, 2021
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Still not right, because not 100% of people will get covid naturally.
Avamander
on March 25, 2021
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Close enough, you can multiply by 0.75-0.5 if you wish, still awful odds.
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Can't be done, you're avoiding yourself into a ~3/100 game.