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This is if you just let it sit in an account instead of investing it. The parent comment is saying if you invest it you will be able to take 4% each year and still keep the nest egg in tact.


Wouldn't you need about 4% per year to break even with inflation? Can you safely invest at 7-8%?


You can search for "the 4 percent rule" or "trinity study" if you're curious about more. But basically, stock markets over long time average 7-8%. Subtracting inflation gives you a rule of thumb of 4% that historically would have worked.

Of course, the future might not match. But the studies also use a fixed withdrawal rate throughout. One could further mitigate the risk by having a small side-income some years, reducing spending in down-years etc. Also, how much money one needs post-retirement is often less, for instance if the mortgage is paid down, not housing kids any more etc.


So last year based on new treasuries issuance the neutral rate was 6.2% before unbacked credit emissions like student loans.




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