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Yes, let’s gentrify faster.


If you think gentrification is bad, you should see the alternatives. They are real. https://goo.gl/maps/veQSXmD7Z5G2


How did I know it was Detroit before I even clicked?

Fact is, both gentrification and decay suck. I like to use the analogy of strip-mining a landscape, desert-ifying it, and then when the rain comes ... instead of a life sustaining event, it's a flood that removes it.


Why is that analogy relevant?


False dichotomy. Most of the complaints about gentrification are coming from lower middle class families getting pushed out of their home in a cute little neighborhood because taxes are too high.


getting pushed out of the neighborhood you grew up in because of the rising rents sounds pretty sad. getting pushed out of your family home because it got so valuable that you can't pay the property tax on it doesn't really sound as tragic. in fact, i hope that happens to every house i ever own.


Exactly.

"My tax bill went from $8K per year to $32K per year, poor me!" doesn't buy much sympathy when your house went from $200,000 to $800,000 over the same time period.


Actually the reverse happened in Detroit. Your houses value dropped 80% but your property taxes didn't drop.

Imagine you're retired and over 65 so you no longer owe property taxes. But you don't know it, the tax bills keep coming and you lose your house. It is still happening in Detroit.

You've lost your job in the 2008 recession (in Detroit with 35% unemployment it was a depression) so you don't have to pay your property taxes until you go back to work. But you don't know, the bills keep coming and you lose your house. It is still happening in Detroit.

You're a lucky one, you kept your job and are still able to pay your now inflated property taxes. But neighbors on both sides of you lost their houses and they're empty. An arsonist sets fire to both of them and the resulting blaze burns your house down. Yes, it's still happening in Detroit.


Sure they're sitting on a lot of wealth, but it's not an investment if you're living in it, because there's no income. Also, having to move out of an area because you can't afford the taxes on your house says to me that the taxes are out of proportion (or should be reduced for primary residence), or the house values are crazy.


Get a reverse mortgage? Why should we give tax breaks to people who won the housing lottery?


Well they’re living in the house, that’s why.


Doesn’t mean they can access the equity.

But we wouldn’t want them to have to pay interest now would we? They should be able to pocket that huge financial win for themselves.


Depends if your retired with a fixed income it does and your income wont always increase at the same rate.

Limiting property tax increases to RPI + one or two percent would be fairer to the lower income housholds


That's a typical attitude for someone who makes enough money to live where they are living. Sure, why not, you can just upgrade houses.

But, how much money would it take for you to quit your job and leave your home, family, and friends behind? Because that's what it amounts too. Few people are able to sell their newly expensive place and find a cheaper or equal option that doesn't require completely uprooting.


Some people like where they live more than they like money.


> Most of the complaints about gentrification are coming from lower middle class families getting pushed out of their home in a cute little neighborhood because taxes are too high.

Maybe that's true somewhere (I doubt it, for reasons already articulated in sibling comments), b ut certainly not in CA, because Prop 13.


I only mentioned taxes. But there are a lot of other living expenses that go up due to gentrification.


Depends on your definiton of bad, I suppose. Care to state what you think is bad? You linked to google maps, from which I can draw a million conclusions, none of them worth devoting effort to responding to without clarification.


Taking the question in good faith, here a few examples drawn from the example above.

* The neighborhood is mostly burnt down, derelict, or razed: think of the important stories in your life and where they took place, and imagine those places transformed, not into a high-end sushi bar, but cracked sidewalks and rubble.

* A generation of home owners probably lost the majority of their wealth

* The city lost tax revenue and struggles to provide basic services like streetlights or the enforcement of law.


This was not the lack of gentrification. This is the effects of unemployment. If a high end sushi bar would “revive” the neighborhood, it would only be because the residents were forced out. So what’s the point? I’d rather care about the people in the neighborhood (...which does involve maintenance) than how the neighborhood makes people feel. People live there. This lazy attitude towards justifying gentrification is disgusting. It’s a hard problem that deserves thought, and this is just classism.

HN, your viewpoint is clear. Try visiting oakland! It’s getting more photogenic every day.


You are confusing cause and effect.

Gentrification is a consequence of improving economic circumstances. Decay is a consequence of declining economic circumstances.

Public policies can plaster over this fact somewhat, but generally policies like rent control or CA's Prop 13 make things worse rather than better.

I have visited Oakland plenty. It's a terrible place, due at least in part to bad public policy as described above.


Yea, I’m not buying that you need to kick people out of their houses to improve the economy (whatever that means to you...). Employment and gentrification are linked and cause each other.

Please, stay away from the terrible cities! Would you go so far as to call them shitholes?


No, I wouldn't.

I'm not tracking the argument you're making. Between the frequent revisions of your comments, I've gathered that HN users are bad for not visiting Oakland, but once you discover that we've been there, now you want us to stay away? I thought I was preferring gentrification to decay, but now I'm personally kicking people out of their houses?

Life is hard and unfair. I get it. But if you make choices based on a short-sighted compassion for the disadvantaged that entirely neglects long-term consequences, you will make life harder and more unfair. Exhibit A: CA's Prop 13.


Sorry, but gentrification takes decades. Nobody is walking up to a door and dragging poor old grandma out.

Nobody is entitled to live in a certain community for a certain price. That road leads to a planned (and failed) economy.


Well, if you’re serious, I can take you to people in Oakland who have been put on the street this month. They’re not terribly hard to find.

I’m guessing you’re not.

Finally, there is obviously a huge spectrum between free and planned economy. You can probably fill in the rest of the argument from here.


People have a responsibility to live within their means. IF they can't afford their house/apartment, so be it. I really fail to see the problem here.


> Nobody is walking up to a door and dragging poor old grandma out.

What exactly do you think happens when an apartment complex gets purchased by a buyer whose plans are to redevelop (either remodel or demolish and rebuild) it for a more upscale market.

> Nobody is entitled to live in a certain community for a certain price.

Whether entitled or not, people are in fact harmed by being forcibly displaced from their home.


What happens in our markets up here (MA and NH) is the new building owner inherits the leases of the existing tenants and must fulfill the obligations of those leases. I assume the laws are similar in CA.

Once the building owner and tenant both fulfill that which they’ve agreed to, they can mutually choose to extend renew or not. If the building owner wants to redevelop, they need to wait for leases to run their term or they need to buy out of the lease with each tenant.

When they do that, they’ve fulfilled their end of the bargain. If a tenant wants more than that, they can negotiate (and pay for) lease renewal options. Most residential tenants do not (most commercial tenants do), but should then not be surprised when they don’t have that ironclad option to extend the lease that they didn’t choose to buy.


Then people need to adjust their living styles. "Forced" is the wrong term here. Either you can afford your apartment or not. Nobody deserves cheap rent.


> Then people need to adjust their living styles.

Yes, that's exactly a downward distribution of pain.

> "Forced" is the wrong term here.

As they are compelled by the actions of others, it is exactly the right word.

> Nobody deserves cheap rent.

That certainly includes the wealthier beneficiaries (the new residents, not the even wealthier investors) of government-subsidized gentrification, who are, after all, getting exaxtly what the poorer losers in that process are losing.

If nobody deserves it, taxpayers shouldn't be paying to transfer it from the poor to the wealthy.


When you significantly edit your comments after the conversation has moved on, it's really helpful to include the edits below the original post so that others can view the actual conversation.

-- Edit: like this.


They are only "forced" if you believe they were originally entitled to live there at a certain price.

Which, in a market economy, they were most certainly not.

The moral argument around gentrification is a weak one. Gentrification has been happening since cities existed. At some point we need to accept that people should make sound financial decisions.


> They are only "forced" if you believe they were originally entitled to live there at a certain price.

I’m not opposed to consumer protections here.

And not all old things are good. Hell, the oldest human social institutions are arguably the worst. Do you have an argument for its morality?


I'm just saying the moving of people throughout cities and neighborhoods is a very natural thing. Someone no longer being able to afford things in their neighborhood is not inherently a bad thing. Responsibly adults should be able to manage their finances, move, and adjust. That's life.


> They are only "forced" if you believe they were originally entitled to live there at a certain price.

No, they are forced independently of that.

Whether you view that as categorically wrong may be impacted on views of entitlement, but most of the suggestions I've seen about it being wrong are utilitarian, not categorical, and are thus not dependent on any system of entitlement.


Do you think the burned out, half-missing roof house adds beneficial je ne sais quoi to the neighborhood? Which of those houses would you like to have a next-door neighbor? Which of those houses would have the greatest positive effect on your willingness to move there, raise a family there, and invest there?


Some places were overbuilt, and it would probably be better to tear down the remaining structures, clean it up and designate the block as a park. The wrong approach to development can make things substantially worse for people who live in marginal neighborhoods.


I base where I live on things other than aesthetics and money, like the people.


If I had to guess, probably the dilapidated homes and streets covered in trash.


The gross majority of opportunity zones are not at risk of gentrification from opportunity zone investment. Most opportunity zone census tracts sorely need an incentive for new investment.


Sounds like what is going to happen to me is some "opportunity zones" are going to increase in value, and its going to lead to a runaway feedback effect where all this opportunity zone investment is going to be plowed into a few rapidly price increasing zones for maximum return and nowhere else.

End result is going to be an entire neighborhood of 3 million dollar condos nobody lives in (but prices have skyrocketed due to the huge influx of money), a huge tax free payoff for millionaires, and next to zero real societal value created.


The benefit of investing in an opportunity zone is not that great. It’s an incentive, but a rather modest one, for a specific group of people with ‘captive gains,’ and these investments will tend to be rather risky by nature of being in OZs. I have trouble fathoming a runaway investment situation (?). If, in 10 years, OZ policy has dramatically changed the state of a substantial portion of low income census tracts... is that a bad thing?


More expensive housing does precisely nothing for low income earners.


I live on the edge of one and real estate around here has tripled over the last decade already. I have lost a lot of friends and neighbors to endlessly rising rents over the last 5 years. Something tells me the hot money isn't going to fund the construction of homeless shelters or enough housing to seriously push down rents.


This is just how society works. Things change. Cities develop. People move. Creating a bigger and better middle class is a good thing.


Yes please. Lower crime, more economic opportunity, walkable cities.

What exactly is bad about it?


> What exactly is bad about it?

The fact that that the original residents are displaced to a place without those benefits and bear the cost of relocation, while the people that enjoy he benefits are people who could have afforded to get as good, or nearly so, conditions in existing places with them, anyway.

Gentrification is a magnifying downward redistribution of misery, where the new residents get a small gain in exchange for the old residents (particularly renters) getting a big loss.


Why are people entitled to live in a certain community just because they have been there for a long time?

At what point do I get to lay claim to my house and force my city to allow me to live there for a subsidized price if I can't afford it?


> Why are people entitled to live in a certain community just because they have been there for a long time?

I didn't say anything anout entitlement. I said that a certain change redistributes pain downward and magnifies it in the process.


Some pain for sure. Others make a cool 500k now that their house is no longer next to a meth lab.


Yes, property owners—who tend to be more wealthy than renters to start with—may see benefits. That kind of reinforces the point, rather than contradicting it.


And renters can move. Just as people have done for hundreds of years.


They could also band together, arm themselves, and so on, just as people have done for hundreds of years.


Yes, and that has a cost.

Hence, the downward distribution of negative impacts.


wait, are you now defending a "tax break for the rich, so they can show poor home owners that they are too entitled"?




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