I'm glad you pointed this out. My roommate's career was a flash developer and his primary skills were animation and graphic design. He spent hours doing that and got me to help out with the few numerical/mathematical tasks he needed to fill-in.
I was a dork and overacted to his use of 100% global variables, etc. He gracefully tried to use Flash's OO to appease me and improve himself, but really he got quite far in life doing graphics and even basic database access in Flash.
I think the tooling might be the point where HTML5/JS (h5js?) becomes divergent. Think about it: making a flash-like editor for HTML5 requires an investment in time and different groups/companies will want to do it differently... Then, they'll start to add tiny features to push their implementation over the time and poof~ towerofbabel.jpg.
I place very strong bets that Adobe will create a dominant tool here. It will be nearly identical to flash but emit all the new fangled html5 asm.js stuff instead - in some nice tight drop-in way ... like
<div id="container">
<script src="//ad.be/UNIQID"></script>
</div>
Where ad.be is a "cloud" service you pay $xx/month to "host" your "app" for you. Essentially you make the thing, it saves to the cloud, generates your uniqid, and you put it in a container. They keep the source file and can continually regenerate the js as their "engine" improves and browser tech moves forward. It's a future-proof plugin-less flash with a large existing user and customer base.
If that's the flow, Adobe might as well just start minting money.
I was a dork and overacted to his use of 100% global variables, etc. He gracefully tried to use Flash's OO to appease me and improve himself, but really he got quite far in life doing graphics and even basic database access in Flash.
I think the tooling might be the point where HTML5/JS (h5js?) becomes divergent. Think about it: making a flash-like editor for HTML5 requires an investment in time and different groups/companies will want to do it differently... Then, they'll start to add tiny features to push their implementation over the time and poof~ towerofbabel.jpg.