I have lost literally hundreds of thousands of $ trying to short obvious frauds and scams.

I have made all that back and more by instead going long things that are cheap + growing.

Being a bear pays off 1% of the time, and the act of trying to time it actually changes the window so just be an optimist and get rich.

Very true. If you have the fundamentals right, but the timing wrong, you're still "wrong", because you're broke.

What information sources do you use to find the cheap + growing things?

Usually big established companies that've been unfairly beaten down and financials don't have any red flags. I look at social chat/analyst chat also but mostly only to see if/how many people/bots are talking not really to see what they are saying.

For example, I hold oversized bags of Boeing, Pfizer, and Google right now (these are new-ish positions ~3-4m in)

If I'm wrong, I try to get out asap. If I'm right, I try to never sell.

Actually all these deaths are just transitory feel goods for the Israeli side. By killing more civilians than ever before, Hamas is able to recruit the same (maybe more) fighters back. They will have different leaders with different names, but these fighters who have had innocent family killed and now want revenge will be blowing themselves up at some point in the next decade or 2 and Israel is equally or less safe as a result.

Pager attack is a notable exception here, that was actually targeted badassery.

It goes on.

This completely misapprehends the conflict. Hamas wasn't simply a terrorist organization; it was a organized, well-armed military adversary, supported by other large irregular armed forces in the region as well as by Iran, with extensive infrastructure and supply chains, and a command and control structure with decades of experience and training. Netanyahu bears significant responsibility for allowing them to develop those capabilities! He positioned them against the PA to derail the two-state outcome.

Whatever else Hamas is now, whatever improvised explosives they blow up in Tel Aviv or Haifa or Jerusalem, they are as a military force with a complex and carefully designed order of battle done, utterly broken. WSJ reports Al-Qassam isn't even communicating with the Hamas political branch. Of course they're going to recruit terrorists. There's no such thing as stopping that kind of activity.

That’s great but all you have done is basically kick the can down the line and killed many innocent people in the process.

It’s not like you haven wiped out Iran permanently (not advocating for this obviously, I’m Iranian!) or achieved anything of significance really, perhaps Iran has been slightly weakened, though even that remains to be seen depending on what happens with Syria, or have lost any major allies permanently.

You are naive if you think the infrastructure wont be rebuild with their allies and networks won’t be established, all it takes is time, funding and support which now they have plenty of thanks to Israelis actions.

This isn’t the same celebration you should be having like Russians have just marched in Berlin in WWII.

I suppose the good news is that bloodshed will stop (hopefully) for a few years and a stable long term solution can be figured out meanwhile.

I'm fine with disputing the logic of Israel's military goals here as long as we're all on the same page about what those goals are. When we start talking about how many new terrorists have been recruited because of the Gaza invasion, we're no longer on that same page.

I'm loathe to reveal too much about what I think about this situation personally, because it immediately poisons the rest of the thread, but my take on the situation is not as far from yours as you may think it is.

> Pager attack is a notable exception here, that was actually targeted badassery.

weird to call killing people "targeted badassery"

I am fine with calling killing Hezbollah operatives bad-ass and am comfortable with the implications. Hezbollah is (was?) very bad, most especially if you were a Sunni in Syria. Fuck those guys. People should stop developing parasocial relationships with monsters.

i don't believe in killing anybody no matter how bad they are. i'm not interested in engaging in a debate on the internet with anybody about this belief, especially not the CTO of fly.io, so i don't care to hear why you believe that i should believe that people should die.

also, i don't have any parasocial relationship with anybody in the military on either side of this issue, nor any military member anywhere in the entire universe.

I'm not the CTO of anything, FWIW.

... I didn't mean to imply anything about you personally, but I think someone could reasonably read this comment that way, so, sorry, I should be more careful.

Already had to migrate all my domain's off Squarespace and remove Google Workspace entirely when they randomly decided it was now not free and started billing me monthly more than Google Domains did (80% more) Some MBA got a bonus for this surely.

I would buy $GOOG stock blindly but being a paid user of theirs blows

Would have been nice to get double the memory on the 5090 to run those giant models locally. Would've probably upgraded at 64gb but the jump from 24 to 32gb isn't big enough

Gaming performance has been plateaued for some time now, maybe an 8k monitor wave can revive things

I was traveling by local buses in the first grade in an Indian city of 25M people. Today my (well off) siblings in NY won't let their kids out of their sight for even 1 second.

America wonders how they produce these safe space snowflakes and this is absolutely the attitude that causes it.

I had a dream that Gensler wouldn't go quietly, and filed wire fraud/terrorism/laundering charges against Tether as his last stand.

Then I realized that crypto has bought a majority of the house, senate and the presidency so these scammers are here to stay and our only hope is that they run out of suckers and start scamming each other

This LLM hype is out of control, they literally bullshit on any novel input (admittedly there's not a lot of this) and are wrong 15-20% of the time for all inputs

This isn't a "we'll just add more context", "we'll just add more instructions and params", "our multi-head transformers will auto-attention the tits off your query" etc - this is search based on probability maps. It is structurally unable to be intelligent, no matter how many models you chain together and how much compute you throw at it. But it can sure mimic that shit, which is why LPs are going to lose their shirts and GPs are going to struggle to raise follow on funds.

Let's move on.

Hate to see this but Chinese phones have been better than US phones for almost half a decade now.

They may have started with stolen IP, but they're actually just ahead now - thinner, faster, lighter, better.

This applies to hardware, but their software isn't bad either - 15 years in most phone OS are kind of the same shit with only minor differences.

But sure Google, Apple, Microsoft keep trying to sell us shitty services for your balance sheet and ignoring what got you dominant i.e. building great products.

I had to block all network traffic from VSCode that shit is spyware out of the box.

Maybe the vi crew is actually onto something.

vi crew here. We had dark mode since before it was fashionable.

vi/emacs crew was never wrong. Imagine willingly using a Microsoft product.

I started with emacs back in the VT220 days (we didn't have tmux/screen in VAXen, nor in Ultrix, and the mail reader was great), moved to vim in the Slackware years, and now switch between VS Code and nvim on my Mac without any qualms. Sometimes I even run nvim inside the VS Code terminal for quick edits.

I am this close to running VSCode inside a VM. The plugins have seemingly no sandboxing. Microsoft has repeatedly demonstrated they view my analytics as their right. Why should I trust this to access my home?

keepassXC is and was always better

Not for ease of use and syncing, at least if you don't want to maintain cloud sync and set it up on your own. Bitwarden just works with an app install and not much user intervention involved.