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I am afraid this picture is far from accurate. Power plants on the whole are running at a very low PLF for some time. Very cheap power is available in the short term markets[1]. The transmission system has also improved in the last two years and now prices are more or less uniform across the country[1].

Last mile distribution infrastructure is still a WIP in many places but the real problem is financial. Many distribution companies are owned by state govts. and unable to charge/recover for the electricity they distribute. This incentivizes them to procure/supply as little power as possible. Many states have now opted for a financial restructuring [2] and I expect demand will pick up sharply.

[1] http://www.vidyutpravah.in/ [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ujwal_DISCOM_Assurance_Yojana


#2 may be outdated. #3 can be debated, but there were brown-outs and black-outs during the summer.

Things have improved, but the pace is not something to write home about.


Complaining about pace is moving the goal posts here, and yes power shortages are a lot scarcer.

I sell gensets in the southern states and the market is shrinking.

Additionally what's being missed in this entire chain is that the new CPCB norms were released a few years ago and all gensets sold in india now conform to it one way or the other.

To still add to this - most gensets don't run as much as they are able to. For a majority of sets they run very little in the span of years.

The OP gave an example where power was not given to a mall due to corruption, not lack of power.


I can distinctly remember the air quality in Delhi improving drastically when the public transportation moved to CNG and the metro started operating in the early 00s. Over time though, the policy of building more roads rather than focussing on public transport has led to both congestion and pollution problems worsening. I am optimistic that once the peripheral highways are completed and metro phase 3 is operational, air quality will improve.


Seeing a lot of neo-liberal economics dogma here in the comments, and so would like to recommend this excellent book: https://www.amazon.co.uk/How-Asia-Works-Success-Failure/dp/1....

It has an excellent account of how manufacturing (supported by heavy protectionism from the state) was a crucial component of the Asian miracle in nearly all countries. IMO India really needs to go through a round of manufacturing expansion, preferably in the high-tech sectors.


You mean paleo-liberal economics dogma? Just about all mainstream economists ever agree on free trade.

(Though in this case, they are just banning Apple Stores, apparently, not Apple products. So it doesn't really matter too much.)


On the contrary, my guess would be that this decision was taken at the highest political levels, and I applaud this decision. I read that the govt. set up a small committee of bureaucrats which recommended a waiver and I was hoping for this outcome. This would hopefully incentivise Apple to move at-least some of their assembly to Foxconn India. We need all the jobs and economic activity we can get.


I don't know, forced Import Substitution Industrialization (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Import_substitution_industrial...) hasn't worked very well around the world so far.


Worthy quote from that article:

"While import substitution policies might create jobs in the short run, as domestic producers replace foreign producers, economics theory shows that in the long run output and growth will be lower than it would otherwise have been. This is because import substitution denies the country the benefits to be gained from specialisation and foreign imports. The law of comparative advantage shows how countries will gain from trade. Moreover, protectionism leads to dynamic inefficiency: Domestic producers have no incentive from foreign competitors to reduce costs or improve products. Import substitution can impede growth through poor allocation of resources, and its effect on exchange rates harms exports."


I'm not sure how that would apply to veblen goods when the status they confer is tied up in actually not being produced locally.


Interesting point. I wonder how much of an economic impact these goods have? (Ie if they exist, do they matter?)


That's an interesting thought. Any papers you'd recommend in particular?


"All Systems will be Gamed: Exploitive Behavior in Economic and Social Systems"

http://tuvalu.santafe.edu/~wbarthur/Papers/All%20Systems%20G...

He has a new book with all his papers: Complexity and the Economy (http://www.amazon.com/Complexity-Economy-W-Brian-Arthur/dp/0...). I have not bought it yet. The preface is free to download here: http://tuvalu.santafe.edu/~wbarthur/Papers/Complexity%20&%20...


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