> The US air superiority has completely done them, it'd seem.
They're managing to successfully counterattack with strikes in every country in the region, while the bulk of their central leadership has been KIA. They still control the Strait of Hormuz and very intense naval, land, and air operations will be required to dislodge them.
If this war was started with the goal of the complete destruction of Iran, ground troops will have to go in (President Trump et. al. is already in the media telegraphing the requirement). Iran is a mountain fortress, and the home team (pop. 91 million) holds advantage. This has the potential to become and long and bloody war.
I think people in the US are seriously discounting this. The only thing that Iranian forces have to do is keep lobbing drones. You don't need leadership, heavy industry, or even a lot of drones as long as you keep lobbing them.
It takes very little for them to keep disrupting things which affect the global economy.
Even if leadership changes at the top and isn't killed, why would independent cells of fighters stop?
I think there's a huge possibility that Iran can keep being disruptive longer than the US is willing to spend $$$$$ bombing and intercepting.
One nuance here is where that $$$$ actually goes. The US has a history of diverting a staggering amount of money to the war companies every 2 decades or so. The spend here might be the goal, not the cost.
Well, they've managed to launch and land strikes on every country in the region. "Successful counterattack" is a considerably higher bar than that, IMHO.
I had a similar coaching experience. I took 2 years off and I'm excited to jump back into it this spring. It's tremendous fun and the impact is easy to discern.
> If you are a Department of War contractor, this designation—if formally adopted—would only affect your use of Claude on Department of War contract work. Your use for any other purpose is unaffected.
/In theory./
In practice, if your biggest customer tells you to drop Anthropic, you listen to them.
Ok. So what's the emergency prompting them to take control of Anthropic?
Further, why would they also accuse them of being a national security threat in the same breath? Seems like if they're a threat they're also not someone you want working on national security. Especially under duress. That feels like a bad combination.
Sorry buddy, I let this cool off because it wasn't going in a productive direction.
I have learned that other people are a mirror, if I cannot understand them, it's because there is something hidden inside me that I need to look for.
With respect to the original topic:
In my opinion, the Secretary of War and Anthropic are playing a power game. Whether we agree with their tactics or not, doesn't matter. Trying to understand why and how it's played, and the outcome, could be useful for predicting future power games.
That link is specifically discussing actions the government takes in war. Like, a real, ongoing, war where it's accepted extraordinary actions may be necessary that conflict with peacetime rights to private property (it was written during World War 2).
That's not P/E. That's Price to Sales. P/E is price to earnings ratio. Earnings is profit. Since neither of these companies is profitable, they don't have a P/E ratio today.
I found this Chinese-Canadian history teacher's course on World Civilization to be interesting. His perspective is unique, no doubt due to his journey growing up a poor immigrant in Toronto, a Yale education, and years in China. His treatment seems to offer his Chinese students a western lense, while also revealing insight into Chinese understanding. He's a charismatic presenter.
What's being revealed is "Nuke 'em" is an optimal strategy for the goal. It may be the only viable strategy in the scenarios presented.
Change the goal, change the result. Currently, leading nations of the world have agreed to operate a paradigm of mutual stability. When that paradigm changes we start WW3.
What's being revealed is "Nuke 'em" is an optimal strategy for the goal.
You're giving AI way too much credit.
Most likely, AI really didn't optimize anything.
It most likely engaged in a probability driven selection process that inevitably lead to the most powerful weapon available.
Change the goal, change the result.
Yes. The tricky part is recognizing the need to change the goal.
Achieving this implies you already have an answer in mind that you want to lead AI toward. And AI is often happy to accommodate --- because it is oblivious to any consequences.
My final year of college I lived 2 miles off campus and would daily bicycle to school. In previous years I would commute via car as I lived too far to make the trip conveniently. I perceived greater emotional well-being during the 1 year period of moderate daily exercise. My grades also improved dramatically and I was more resilient during periods of sleep deprivation or intense study. As an adult with a family it has been more difficult to establish a pattern of daily physical activity. Going to the gym is very boring for me.
Try group exercise studios, if you have one available. The classes are usually one hour. It makes planning very easy. Same time, every week. All you need to do is to show up.
They're managing to successfully counterattack with strikes in every country in the region, while the bulk of their central leadership has been KIA. They still control the Strait of Hormuz and very intense naval, land, and air operations will be required to dislodge them.
If this war was started with the goal of the complete destruction of Iran, ground troops will have to go in (President Trump et. al. is already in the media telegraphing the requirement). Iran is a mountain fortress, and the home team (pop. 91 million) holds advantage. This has the potential to become and long and bloody war.